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arXiv 提交日期: 2026-02-19
📄 Abstract - TIFO: Time-Invariant Frequency Operator for Stationarity-Aware Representation Learning in Time Series

Nonstationary time series forecasting suffers from the distribution shift issue due to the different distributions that produce the training and test data. Existing methods attempt to alleviate the dependence by, e.g., removing low-order moments from each individual sample. These solutions fail to capture the underlying time-evolving structure across samples and do not model the complex time structure. In this paper, we aim to address the distribution shift in the frequency space by considering all possible time structures. To this end, we propose a Time-Invariant Frequency Operator (TIFO), which learns stationarity-aware weights over the frequency spectrum across the entire dataset. The weight representation highlights stationary frequency components while suppressing non-stationary ones, thereby mitigating the distribution shift issue in time series. To justify our method, we show that the Fourier transform of time series data implicitly induces eigen-decomposition in the frequency space. TIFO is a plug-and-play approach that can be seamlessly integrated into various forecasting models. Experiments demonstrate our method achieves 18 top-1 and 6 top-2 results out of 28 forecasting settings. Notably, it yields 33.3% and 55.3% improvements in average MSE on the ETTm2 dataset. In addition, TIFO reduces computational costs by 60% -70% compared to baseline methods, demonstrating strong scalability across diverse forecasting models.

顶级标签: machine learning model training data
详细标签: time series frequency analysis distribution shift nonstationary forecasting representation learning 或 搜索:

TIFO:用于时间序列平稳性感知表示学习的时间不变频率算子 / TIFO: Time-Invariant Frequency Operator for Stationarity-Aware Representation Learning in Time Series


1️⃣ 一句话总结

这篇论文提出了一种名为TIFO的新方法,它通过分析时间序列数据中所有频率成分的稳定性,自动学习并增强其中平稳的部分、抑制不平稳的部分,从而有效解决预测模型因数据分布随时间变化而性能下降的问题,并且该方法能直接嵌入现有模型,在提升预测精度的同时大幅降低计算成本。

源自 arXiv: 2602.17122