智能挖矿时机:一种用于比特币硬件投资回报率预测的深度学习框架 / Smart Timing for Mining: A Deep Learning Framework for Bitcoin Hardware ROI Prediction
1️⃣ 一句话总结
这篇论文提出了一个名为MineROI-Net的深度学习模型,它能像预测天气一样预测购买比特币挖矿硬件的未来收益情况,帮助矿工在价格波动和技术快速过时的市场中,更准确地把握最佳购买时机,从而降低投资风险。
Bitcoin mining hardware acquisition requires strategic timing due to volatile markets, rapid technological obsolescence, and protocol-driven revenue cycles. Despite mining's evolution into a capital-intensive industry, there is little guidance on when to purchase new Application-Specific Integrated Circuit (ASIC) hardware, and no prior computational frameworks address this decision problem. We address this gap by formulating hardware acquisition as a time series classification task, predicting whether purchasing ASIC machines yields profitable (Return on Investment (ROI) >= 1), marginal (0 < ROI < 1), or unprofitable (ROI <= 0) returns within one year. We propose MineROI-Net, an open source Transformer-based architecture designed to capture multi-scale temporal patterns in mining profitability. Evaluated on data from 20 ASIC miners released between 2015 and 2024 across diverse market regimes, MineROI-Net outperforms LSTM-based and TSLANet baselines, achieving 83.7% accuracy and 83.1% macro F1-score. The model demonstrates strong economic relevance, achieving 93.6% precision in detecting unprofitable periods and 98.5% precision for profitable ones, while avoiding misclassification of profitable scenarios as unprofitable and vice versa. These results indicate that MineROI-Net offers a practical, data-driven tool for timing mining hardware acquisitions, potentially reducing financial risk in capital-intensive mining operations. The model is available through: this https URL.
智能挖矿时机:一种用于比特币硬件投资回报率预测的深度学习框架 / Smart Timing for Mining: A Deep Learning Framework for Bitcoin Hardware ROI Prediction
这篇论文提出了一个名为MineROI-Net的深度学习模型,它能像预测天气一样预测购买比特币挖矿硬件的未来收益情况,帮助矿工在价格波动和技术快速过时的市场中,更准确地把握最佳购买时机,从而降低投资风险。
源自 arXiv: 2512.05402