观点:超越以模型为中心的预测——面向智能体的时间序列预测 / Position: Beyond Model-Centric Prediction -- Agentic Time Series Forecasting
1️⃣ 一句话总结
这篇论文提出了一种新观点,认为时间序列预测不应仅仅是让模型做一次性的静态预测,而应转变为一个由智能体驱动的动态过程,使其能够像人一样通过感知、规划、行动、反思和记忆来不断适应环境、整合反馈并迭代优化预测结果。
Time series forecasting has traditionally been formulated as a model-centric, static, and single-pass prediction problem that maps historical observations to future values. While this paradigm has driven substantial progress, it proves insufficient in adaptive and multi-turn settings where forecasting requires informative feature extraction, reasoning-driven inference, iterative refinement, and continual adaptation over time. In this paper, we argue for agentic time series forecasting (ATSF), which reframes forecasting as an agentic process composed of perception, planning, action, reflection, and memory. Rather than focusing solely on predictive models, ATSF emphasizes organizing forecasting as an agentic workflow that can interact with tools, incorporate feedback from outcomes, and evolve through experience accumulation. We outline three representative implementation paradigms -- workflow-based design, agentic reinforcement learning, and a hybrid agentic workflow paradigm -- and discuss the opportunities and challenges that arise when shifting from model-centric prediction to agentic forecasting. Together, this position aims to establish agentic forecasting as a foundation for future research at the intersection of time series forecasting.
观点:超越以模型为中心的预测——面向智能体的时间序列预测 / Position: Beyond Model-Centric Prediction -- Agentic Time Series Forecasting
这篇论文提出了一种新观点,认为时间序列预测不应仅仅是让模型做一次性的静态预测,而应转变为一个由智能体驱动的动态过程,使其能够像人一样通过感知、规划、行动、反思和记忆来不断适应环境、整合反馈并迭代优化预测结果。
源自 arXiv: 2602.01776