MEME:金融市场演化模式的建模 / MEME: Modeling the Evolutionary Modes of Financial Markets
1️⃣ 一句话总结
这篇论文提出了一种名为MEME的新方法,它将金融市场视为一个由不同投资叙事(即思维模式)竞争演化的生态系统,通过提取和分析这些叙事的变化来指导投资组合构建,并在实验中证明其优于现有主流方法。
LLMs have demonstrated significant potential in quantitative finance by processing vast unstructured data to emulate human-like analytical workflows. However, current LLM-based methods primarily follow either an Asset-Centric paradigm focused on individual stock prediction or a Market-Centric approach for portfolio allocation, often remaining agnostic to the underlying reasoning that drives market movements. In this paper, we propose a Logic-Oriented perspective, modeling the financial market as a dynamic, evolutionary ecosystem of competing investment narratives, termed Modes of Thought. To operationalize this view, we introduce MEME (Modeling the Evolutionary Modes of Financial Markets), designed to reconstruct market dynamics through the lens of evolving logics. MEME employs a multi-agent extraction module to transform noisy data into high-fidelity Investment Arguments and utilizes Gaussian Mixture Modeling to uncover latent consensus within a semantic space. To model semantic drift among different market conditions, we also implement a temporal evaluation and alignment mechanism to track the lifecycle and historical profitability of these modes. By prioritizing enduring market wisdom over transient anomalies, MEME ensures that portfolio construction is guided by robust reasoning. Extensive experiments on three heterogeneous Chinese stock pools from 2023 to 2025 demonstrate that MEME consistently outperforms seven SOTA baselines. Further ablation studies, sensitivity analysis, lifecycle case study and cost analysis validate MEME's capacity to identify and adapt to the evolving consensus of financial markets. Our implementation can be found at this https URL.
MEME:金融市场演化模式的建模 / MEME: Modeling the Evolutionary Modes of Financial Markets
这篇论文提出了一种名为MEME的新方法,它将金融市场视为一个由不同投资叙事(即思维模式)竞争演化的生态系统,通过提取和分析这些叙事的变化来指导投资组合构建,并在实验中证明其优于现有主流方法。
源自 arXiv: 2602.11918