因果概率的通用样本量分析:一种Delta方法 / General sample size analysis for probabilities of causation: a delta method approach
1️⃣ 一句话总结
这篇论文提出了一种基于Delta方法的通用框架,用于计算在因果推断中估计‘因果概率’边界时所需的实验和观察数据样本量,以确保估计结果的稳定性和准确性。
Probabilities of causation (PoCs), such as the probability of necessity and sufficiency (PNS), are important tools for decision making but are generally not point identifiable. Existing work has derived bounds for these quantities using combinations of experimental and observational data. However, there is very limited research on sample size analysis, namely, how many experimental and observational samples are required to achieve a desired margin of error. In this paper, we propose a general sample size framework based on the delta method. Our approach applies to settings in which the target bounds of PoCs can be expressed as finite minima or maxima of linear combinations of experimental and observational probabilities. Through simulation studies, we demonstrate that the proposed sample size calculations lead to stable estimation of these bounds.
因果概率的通用样本量分析:一种Delta方法 / General sample size analysis for probabilities of causation: a delta method approach
这篇论文提出了一种基于Delta方法的通用框架,用于计算在因果推断中估计‘因果概率’边界时所需的实验和观察数据样本量,以确保估计结果的稳定性和准确性。
源自 arXiv: 2602.17070