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arXiv 提交日期: 2026-02-23
📄 Abstract - Making Conformal Predictors Robust in Healthcare Settings: a Case Study on EEG Classification

Quantifying uncertainty in clinical predictions is critical for high-stakes diagnosis tasks. Conformal prediction offers a principled approach by providing prediction sets with theoretical coverage guarantees. However, in practice, patient distribution shifts violate the i.i.d. assumptions underlying standard conformal methods, leading to poor coverage in healthcare settings. In this work, we evaluate several conformal prediction approaches on EEG seizure classification, a task with known distribution shift challenges and label uncertainty. We demonstrate that personalized calibration strategies can improve coverage by over 20 percentage points while maintaining comparable prediction set sizes. Our implementation is available via PyHealth, an open-source healthcare AI framework: this https URL.

顶级标签: medical model evaluation machine learning
详细标签: conformal prediction distribution shift eeg classification uncertainty quantification personalized calibration 或 搜索:

让保形预测器在医疗场景中更稳健:一项关于脑电图分类的案例研究 / Making Conformal Predictors Robust in Healthcare Settings: a Case Study on EEG Classification


1️⃣ 一句话总结

这篇论文针对医疗场景中患者数据分布变化导致预测不确定性量化不准的问题,通过在脑电图癫痫分类任务中测试多种方法,发现采用个性化校准策略能显著提升预测的可靠性。

源自 arXiv: 2602.19483