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arXiv 提交日期: 2026-03-12
📄 Abstract - Deep Learning-Based Metamodeling of Nonlinear Stochastic Dynamic Systems under Parametric and Predictive Uncertainty

Modeling high-dimensional, nonlinear dynamic structural systems under natural hazards presents formidable computational challenges, especially when simultaneously accounting for uncertainties in external loads and structural parameters. Studies have successfully incorporated uncertainties related to external loads from natural hazards, but few have simultaneously addressed loading and parameter uncertainties within structural systems while accounting for prediction uncertainty of neural networks. To address these gaps, three metamodeling frameworks were formulated, each coupling a feature-extraction module implemented through a multi-layer perceptron (MLP), a message-passing neural network (MPNN), or an autoencoder (AE) with a long short-term memory (LSTM) network using Monte Carlo dropout and a negative log-likelihood loss. The resulting architectures (MLP-LSTM, MPNN-LSTM, and AE-LSTM) were validated on two case studies: a multi-degree-of-freedom Bouc-Wen system and a 37-story fiber-discretized nonlinear steel moment-resisting frame, both subjected to stochastic seismic excitation and structural parameter uncertainty. All three approaches achieved low prediction errors: the MLP-LSTM yielded the most accurate results for the lower-dimensional Bouc-Wen system, whereas the MPNN-LSTM and AE-LSTM provided superior performance on the more complex steel-frame model. Moreover, a consistent correlation between predictive variance and actual error confirms the suitability of these frameworks for active-learning strategies and for assessing model confidence in structural response predictions.

顶级标签: machine learning model training systems
详细标签: metamodeling stochastic dynamics uncertainty quantification neural networks structural engineering 或 搜索:

基于深度学习的参数与预测不确定性下非线性随机动力系统元建模 / Deep Learning-Based Metamodeling of Nonlinear Stochastic Dynamic Systems under Parametric and Predictive Uncertainty


1️⃣ 一句话总结

该研究提出了三种结合特征提取与长短期记忆网络的深度学习框架,用于高效且可靠地预测同时承受外部随机荷载和内部参数不确定性的复杂非线性结构系统的响应,并通过预测方差评估模型置信度。

源自 arXiv: 2603.12012