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arXiv 提交日期: 2026-03-16
📄 Abstract - Scalable Simulation-Based Model Inference with Test-Time Complexity Control

Simulation plays a central role in scientific discovery. In many applications, the bottleneck is no longer running a simulator; it is choosing among large families of plausible simulators, each corresponding to different forward models/hypotheses consistent with observations. Over large model families, classical Bayesian workflows for model selection are impractical. Furthermore, amortized model selection methods typically hard-code a fixed model prior or complexity penalty at training time, requiring users to commit to a particular parsimony assumption before seeing the data. We introduce PRISM, a simulation-based encoder-decoder that infers a joint posterior over both discrete model structures and associated continuous parameters, while enabling test-time control of model complexity via a tunable model prior that the network is conditioned on. We show that PRISM scales to families with combinatorially many (up to billions) of model instantiations on a synthetic symbolic regression task. As a scientific application, we evaluate PRISM on biophysical modeling for diffusion MRI data, showing the ability to perform model selection across several multi-compartment models, on both synthetic and in vivo neuroimaging data.

顶级标签: model evaluation machine learning systems
详细标签: simulation-based inference model selection amortized inference posterior estimation scalable inference 或 搜索:

具有测试时复杂度控制的可扩展仿真模型推断 / Scalable Simulation-Based Model Inference with Test-Time Complexity Control


1️⃣ 一句话总结

这篇论文提出了一种名为PRISM的新方法,它能够从海量候选仿真模型中快速筛选出最符合观测数据的模型结构及其参数,并允许用户在分析数据时灵活调整对模型复杂度的偏好,从而解决了传统方法在大规模模型选择中计算量大且灵活性不足的问题。

源自 arXiv: 2603.15292