解锁文本价值:面向时间序列预测的事件驱动推理与多层级对齐方法 / Unlocking the Value of Text: Event-Driven Reasoning and Multi-Level Alignment for Time Series Forecasting
1️⃣ 一句话总结
这篇论文提出了一种名为VoT的新方法,通过结合大型语言模型的事件推理能力和多层级信息对齐技术,有效利用外部文本信息来显著提升时间序列预测的准确性。
Existing time series forecasting methods primarily rely on the numerical data itself. However, real-world time series exhibit complex patterns associated with multimodal information, making them difficult to predict with numerical data alone. While several multimodal time series forecasting methods have emerged, they either utilize text with limited supplementary information or focus merely on representation extraction, extracting minimal textual information for forecasting. To unlock the Value of Text, we propose VoT, a method with Event-driven Reasoning and Multi-level Alignment. Event-driven Reasoning combines the rich information in exogenous text with the powerful reasoning capabilities of LLMs for time series forecasting. To guide the LLMs in effective reasoning, we propose the Historical In-context Learning that retrieves and applies historical examples as in-context guidance. To maximize the utilization of text, we propose Multi-level Alignment. At the representation level, we utilize the Endogenous Text Alignment to integrate the endogenous text information with the time series. At the prediction level, we design the Adaptive Frequency Fusion to fuse the frequency components of event-driven prediction and numerical prediction to achieve complementary advantages. Experiments on real-world datasets across 10 domains demonstrate significant improvements over existing methods, validating the effectiveness of our approach in the utilization of text. The code is made available at this https URL.
解锁文本价值:面向时间序列预测的事件驱动推理与多层级对齐方法 / Unlocking the Value of Text: Event-Driven Reasoning and Multi-Level Alignment for Time Series Forecasting
这篇论文提出了一种名为VoT的新方法,通过结合大型语言模型的事件推理能力和多层级信息对齐技术,有效利用外部文本信息来显著提升时间序列预测的准确性。
源自 arXiv: 2603.15452