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arXiv 提交日期: 2026-03-24
📄 Abstract - The Economics of Builder Saturation in Digital Markets

Recent advances in generative AI systems have dramatically reduced the cost of digital production, fueling narratives that widespread participation in software creation will yield a proliferation of viable companies. This paper challenges that assumption. We introduce the Builder Saturation Effect, formalizing a model in which production scales elastically but human attention remains finite. In markets with near-zero marginal costs and free entry, increases in the number of producers dilute average attention and returns per producer, even as total output expands. Extending the framework to incorporate quality heterogeneity and reinforcement dynamics, we show that equilibrium outcomes exhibit declining average payoffs and increasing concentration, consistent with power-law-like distributions. These results suggest that AI-enabled, democratised production is more likely to intensify competition and produce winner-take-most outcomes than to generate broadly distributed entrepreneurial success. Contribution type: This paper is primarily a work of synthesis and applied formalisation. The individual theoretical ingredients - attention scarcity, free-entry dilution, superstar effects, preferential attachment - are well established in their respective literatures. The contribution is to combine them into a unified framework and direct the resulting predictions at a specific contemporary claim about AI-enabled entrepreneurship.

顶级标签: theory systems general
详细标签: market dynamics attention economics generative ai competition digital production 或 搜索:

数字市场中创造者饱和的经济学 / The Economics of Builder Saturation in Digital Markets


1️⃣ 一句话总结

这篇论文通过建立‘创造者饱和效应’模型,指出在生成式AI极大降低数字产品生产成本的背景下,由于人类注意力有限,大量新创企业的涌入反而会稀释平均收益,加剧竞争并导致‘赢家通吃’的市场格局,而非实现广泛分布的创业成功。

源自 arXiv: 2603.23685