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arXiv 提交日期: 2026-03-26
📄 Abstract - Ultra-fast Traffic Nowcasting and Control via Differentiable Agent-based Simulation

Traffic digital twins, which inform policymakers of effective interventions based on large-scale, high-fidelity computational models calibrated to real-world traffic, hold promise for addressing societal challenges in our rapidly urbanizing world. However, conventional fine-grained traffic simulations are non-differentiable and typically rely on inefficient gradient-free optimization, making calibration for real-world applications computationally infeasible. Here we present a differentiable agent-based traffic simulator that enables ultra-fast model calibration, traffic nowcasting, and control on large-scale networks. We develop several differentiable computing techniques for simulating individual vehicle movements, including stochastic decision-making and inter-agent interactions, while ensuring that entire simulation trajectories remain end-to-end differentiable for efficient gradient-based optimization. On the large-scale Chicago road network, with over 10,000 calibration parameters, our model simulates more than one million vehicles at 173 times real-time speed. This ultra-fast simulation, together with efficient gradient-based optimization, enables us to complete model calibration using the previous 30 minutes of traffic data in 455 s, provide a one-hour-ahead traffic nowcast in 21 s, and solve the resulting traffic control problem in 728 s. This yields a full calibration--nowcast--control loop in under 20 minutes, leaving about 40 minutes of lead time for implementing interventions. Our work thus provides a practical computational basis for realizing traffic digital twins.

顶级标签: systems agents model training
详细标签: traffic simulation agent-based modeling differentiable simulation gradient-based optimization digital twins 或 搜索:

基于可微分智能体仿真的超快速交通临近预报与控制 / Ultra-fast Traffic Nowcasting and Control via Differentiable Agent-based Simulation


1️⃣ 一句话总结

这篇论文提出了一种新型的可微分交通仿真模型,它能够以前所未有的速度校准模型、预测未来交通状况并优化交通控制方案,为实现实用的交通数字孪生系统提供了关键技术。

源自 arXiv: 2603.25068