利用空间感知混合图神经网络与对比学习增强停电预测能力 / Empowering Power Outage Prediction with Spatially Aware Hybrid Graph Neural Networks and Contrastive Learning
1️⃣ 一句话总结
这篇论文提出了一种结合空间感知混合图神经网络和对比学习的新方法,能够更准确地预测由极端天气(如风暴、飓风)引发的大范围停电,并在美国多个地区的实际应用中取得了领先的预测效果。
Extreme weather events, such as severe storms, hurricanes, snowstorms, and ice storms, which are exacerbated by climate change, frequently cause widespread power outages. These outages halt industrial operations, impact communities, damage critical infrastructure, profoundly disrupt economies, and have far-reaching effects across various sectors. To mitigate these effects, the University of Connecticut and Eversource Energy Center have developed an outage prediction modeling (OPM) system to provide pre-emptive forecasts for electric distribution networks before such weather events occur. However, existing predictive models in the system do not incorporate the spatial effect of extreme weather events. To this end, we develop Spatially Aware Hybrid Graph Neural Networks (SA-HGNN) with contrastive learning to enhance the OPM predictions for extreme weather-induced power outages. Specifically, we first encode spatial relationships of both static features (e.g., land cover, infrastructure) and event-specific dynamic features (e.g., wind speed, precipitation) via Spatially Aware Hybrid Graph Neural Networks (SA-HGNN). Next, we leverage contrastive learning to handle the imbalance problem associated with different types of extreme weather events and generate location-specific embeddings by minimizing intra-event distances between similar locations while maximizing inter-event distances across all locations. Thorough empirical studies in four utility service territories, i.e., Connecticut, Western Massachusetts, Eastern Massachusetts, and New Hampshire, demonstrate that SA-HGNN can achieve state-of-the-art performance for power outage prediction.
利用空间感知混合图神经网络与对比学习增强停电预测能力 / Empowering Power Outage Prediction with Spatially Aware Hybrid Graph Neural Networks and Contrastive Learning
这篇论文提出了一种结合空间感知混合图神经网络和对比学习的新方法,能够更准确地预测由极端天气(如风暴、飓风)引发的大范围停电,并在美国多个地区的实际应用中取得了领先的预测效果。
源自 arXiv: 2604.04916