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arXiv 提交日期: 2026-04-21
📄 Abstract - Spatio-temporal modelling of electric vehicle charging demand

Accurate forecasting of electric vehicle (EV) charging demand is critical for grid management and infrastructure planning. Yet the field continues to rely on legacy benchmarks; such as the Palo Alto (2020) dataset; that fail to reflect the scale and behavioral diversity of modern charging networks. To address this, we introduce a novel large-scale longitudinal dataset collected across Scotland (2022 2025), which release it as an open benchmark for the community. Building on this dataset, we formulate EV charging demand as a spatio-temporal latent Gaussian field and perform approximate Bayesian inference via Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation (INLA). The resulting model jointly captures spatial dependence, temporal dynamics, and covariate effects within a unified proba bilistic framework. On station-level forecasting tasks, our approach achieves competitive predictive accuracy against machine learning baselines, while additionally providing principled uncertainty quan tification and interpretable spatial and temporal decompositions properties that are essential for risk-aware infrastructure planning.

顶级标签: machine learning benchmark data
详细标签: electric vehicle charging demand spatio-temporal probabilistic forecasting bayesian inference 或 搜索:

电动汽车充电需求的时空建模 / Spatio-temporal modelling of electric vehicle charging demand


1️⃣ 一句话总结

该论文提出了一个新的苏格兰电动汽车充电大规模数据集,并基于此开发了一种结合时空因素和外部变量的概率模型,能够更准确地预测充电需求,同时提供可靠的不确定性评估,为电网管理和充电站规划提供科学依据。

源自 arXiv: 2604.19841