时序功能回路:从样条图到KAN预测的可信解释 / Temporal Functional Circuits: From Spline Plots to Faithful Explanations in KAN Forecasting
1️⃣ 一句话总结
本文提出了一种名为“时序功能回路”的框架,通过将KAN网络的边缘函数转化为基于时间的可信解释,使得时间序列预测模型不仅性能优异,还能清晰展示每个输入如何影响预测结果,从而让用户理解模型决策过程。
Unlike MLPs, Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) expose explicit learnable edge functions on every connection, enabling mechanistic explanation in time-series forecasting. This paper introduces Temporal Functional Circuits, a framework that transforms KAN edge functions from latent visualizations into faithful, temporally grounded explanations. Built on a gated residual KAN that decomposes forecasts into a linear base and a sparsely activated KAN correction, the framework (i) maps each edge to input lags via output-aware attribution, (ii) ranks edges by learned activation range, and (iii) validates faithfulness through edge-level interventions including zeroing and spline removal. Removing the learned B-spline component while retaining the base SiLU term degrades forecasts, providing evidence that the spline shape itself carries predictive value beyond the base activation. On four synthetic regimes of increasing complexity, the learned gate opens progressively wider as signal complexity grows. On regime-switching signals, gated KAN achieves 59% lower MSE than linear-only models. Across eight benchmarks, the gated architecture is competitive with linear, attention, and MLP alternatives, while providing interpretable edge functions that MLP-based corrections cannot offer.
时序功能回路:从样条图到KAN预测的可信解释 / Temporal Functional Circuits: From Spline Plots to Faithful Explanations in KAN Forecasting
本文提出了一种名为“时序功能回路”的框架,通过将KAN网络的边缘函数转化为基于时间的可信解释,使得时间序列预测模型不仅性能优异,还能清晰展示每个输入如何影响预测结果,从而让用户理解模型决策过程。
源自 arXiv: 2605.05685