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Abstract - Position: Academic Conferences are Potentially Facing Denominator Gaming Caused by Fully Automated Scientific Agents
The implicit policy of maintaining relatively stable acceptance rates at top AI conferences, despite exponentially growing submissions, introduces a critical structural vulnerability. This position paper characterizes a new systemic threat we term Agentic Denominator Gaming, in which a malicious actor deploys AI agents to generate and submit a large volume of superficially plausible but low-quality papers. Crucially, their objective is not the acceptance of low-quality papers, but rather to inflate the submission denominator and overwhelm reviewing capacity. Under a relatively stable acceptance rate, this dilution can systematically increase the publication probability of a small, targeted set of legitimate papers. We analyze the practical feasibility of this threat and its broader consequences, including intensified reviewer burnout, degraded review quality, and the emergence of industrialized automated agent mills. Finally, we propose and evaluate a range of mitigation strategies, and argue that durable protection will require system-level policy and incentive reforms, rather than relying primarily on technical detection alone.
立场:学术会议可能面临由全自动科学智能体引发的“分母博弈”风险 /
Position: Academic Conferences are Potentially Facing Denominator Gaming Caused by Fully Automated Scientific Agents
1️⃣ 一句话总结
这篇论文指出,顶级人工智能会议在投稿量爆炸式增长时仍维持稳定录用率的政策存在隐患,恶意行为者可能利用全自动化智能体批量生成并提交大量低质量论文,人为膨胀投稿总数(即“分母博弈”),从而在保持录用率不变的情况下提高其少数目标论文的中选概率,进而引发审稿人疲劳、评审质量下降和自动化论文工厂等严重问题,并呼吁通过系统性的政策与激励改革来防御这一新型威胁。