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arXiv 提交日期: 2026-05-13
📄 Abstract - Toward AI-Driven Digital Twins for Metropolitan Floods: A Conditional Latent Dynamics Network Surrogate of the Shallow Water Equations

AI-driven flood digital twins demand fast hydrodynamic surrogates for ensemble forecasting and observation assimilation. Yet even GPU-accelerated two-dimensional shallow water equation (SWE) solvers still require $\sim 55$ minutes per $96$-hour run on a $\sim 4.2$-million-active-cell metropolitan basin (the Des~Plaines River basin at $30\,\mathrm{m}$ resolution), making such workloads prohibitive at native resolution. We present the Conditional Latent Dynamics Network (CLDNet): a low-dimensional latent neural ODE driven by rainfall, paired with a coordinate-based decoder conditioned on static terrain (elevation, slope, Manning roughness) that reconstructs depth and discharge at arbitrary query points. Pointwise decoding decouples memory from grid size and handles irregular watersheds natively, enabling metropolitan-scale training on a single compute node and direct queries at exact gauge coordinates without raster snapping. We evaluate CLDNet on a synthetic $250{,}000$-cell Texas benchmark and on a new Des~Plaines case study of $114$ real-rainfall Stage~IV storms whose reference simulator we validate against United States Geological Survey (USGS) gauges at the April~2013 flood-of-record (Nash--Sutcliffe efficiency $0.57$--$0.94$ on mean-recentered water-surface elevation). CLDNet roughly halves the relative root-mean-squared error of an unconditional baseline, outperforms regular-grid VAE--ConvLSTM and FNO baselines on the Texas benchmark (both presuppose a Cartesian grid and do not apply to the irregular Des~Plaines watershed), reaches a critical success index of $\approx 86\%$ at the $0.5\,\mathrm{m}$ inundation threshold, and produces a full $96$-hour basin-wide forecast in $\sim 29$ seconds -- a $\sim 115\times$ speedup.

顶级标签: machine learning systems general
详细标签: flood modeling neural ode latent dynamics surrogate model hydrodynamic simulation 或 搜索:

面向城市洪水的AI驱动数字孪生:一种基于条件潜在动力学网络的浅水方程替代模型 / Toward AI-Driven Digital Twins for Metropolitan Floods: A Conditional Latent Dynamics Network Surrogate of the Shallow Water Equations


1️⃣ 一句话总结

本文提出了一种名为条件潜在动力学网络(CLDNet)的AI模型,能够将对大面积城市流域(如德斯普兰斯河流域)洪水模拟的计算时间从约55分钟大幅缩短至约29秒(加速115倍),同时保持高精度,为构建实时、高分辨率的城市洪水数字孪生系统提供了可行的技术路径。

源自 arXiv: 2605.13761