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arXiv 提交日期: 2026-05-18
📄 Abstract - LAST-RAG: Literature-Anchored Stochastic Trajectory Retrieval-Augmented Generation for Knowledge-Conditioned Degradation Model Selection

Stochastic-process-based degradation modeling is a core approach for estimating the distribution of remaining useful life (RUL); however, the selection of an appropriate stochastic process has not been sufficiently addressed. Existing model selection methods mainly rely on the statistical fit of the observed health indicator (HI) trajectory, but this approach may select a model that is inconsistent with the underlying degradation mechanism when the observation window is short or the signal is highly noisy. To address this issue, this paper proposes Literature-Anchored Stochastic Trajectory Retrieval-Augmented Generation (LAST-RAG). The proposed method uses both the observed HI trajectory and domain-specific context, and hierarchically conditions the candidate degradation model space based on theoretical and mechanical evidence retrieved from a local evidence bank. In addition, Rule-based Confidence Reasoning with Uncertain State (RCRUS) is introduced to prevent candidate models from being prematurely eliminated when hierarchical decisions are uncertain. Simulation-based experiments demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms statistical, prognostic, and uncertainty-aware baselines in both Wiener/gamma family classification and detailed degradation model classification. Ultimately, this study reframes degradation model selection from a purely statistical goodness-of-fit problem into a knowledge-conditioned decision-making problem that integrates observed data with domain knowledge.

顶级标签: llm machine learning systems
详细标签: retrieval-augmented generation degradation modeling model selection remaining useful life knowledge conditioning 或 搜索:

LAST-RAG:基于文献锚定的随机轨迹检索增强生成方法用于知识约束的退化模型选择 / LAST-RAG: Literature-Anchored Stochastic Trajectory Retrieval-Augmented Generation for Knowledge-Conditioned Degradation Model Selection


1️⃣ 一句话总结

本文提出了一种名为LAST-RAG的新方法,通过结合观测数据与领域文献知识,智能选择最合适的随机过程模型来预测设备剩余使用寿命,解决了传统单纯依赖数据拟合在数据不足时可能选错模型的问题。

源自 arXiv: 2605.17902