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Abstract - From XXLTraffic to EvoXXLTraffic: Scaling Traffic Forecasting to Sensor-Evolving Networks
Existing traffic forecasting benchmarks assume a fixed sensor set, but real road-sensor networks grow continuously as the road network changes year by year. We introduce the XXLTraffic dataset family, which spans up to 27 years of California PeMS and Transport for NSW data. The fixed-sensor subsets of XXLTraffic support extremely long forecasting with multi-year gaps and standard hourly / daily long-horizon forecasting. We extend it to EvoXXLTraffic, a sensor-evolving reorganization that exposes per-year active sensors, yearly traffic-flow matrices, and yearly graph snapshots across nine PeMS districts, with growth ratios ranging from +305% to over +10,000%. We define a yearly streaming forecasting protocol on EvoXXLTraffic in which each calendar year is a continual task, and benchmark a wide range of representative baselines drawn from static spatio-temporal GNNs, naïve online schemes, evolving-graph continual methods, and retrieval / test-time methods. We find that our ultra-large evolutionary dataset better reflects the real world, and many state-of-the-art (SOTA) results no longer work. Our dataset complements existing benchmarks by enabling more realistic forecasting under ultra-long evolutionary road networks.
从XXLTraffic到EvoXXLTraffic:将交通预测扩展到传感器不断变化的网络 /
From XXLTraffic to EvoXXLTraffic: Scaling Traffic Forecasting to Sensor-Evolving Networks
1️⃣ 一句话总结
这篇论文提出了一个超大规模的交通预测数据集系列(XXLTraffic和EvoXXLTraffic),其最大特点是覆盖长达27年的真实道路传感器网络数据,并专门模拟了传感器数量随时间大幅增长(最高超过1万倍)的演变过程,从而揭示了现有先进模型在该真实动态场景下性能大幅下降的问题,为更贴近实际的交通预测研究提供了新基准。