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arXiv 提交日期: 2026-06-01
📄 Abstract - Error Bounds for a Diffusion Model-Based Drift Estimator

Parameter estimation in stochastic differential equations is a classical statistical problem of much importance in many scientific fields. Recent work of Tapia Costa et al. (2026) introduced a novel technique for estimating the drift when the diffusion parameter is known, using discrete samples from multiple trajectories. Their method treats drift estimation as a denoising problem, and leverages tools from (conditional) score-matching diffusion models. Although their experiments showed promising results across different drift classes, the question of theoretical guarantees for their estimator was left unanswered. In this note, we address this gap by exploiting techniques from diffusion model theory. More concretely, we derive an explicit risk bound for the time-averaged mean-squared error of said drift estimator. Our bound decomposes the risk into the (i) Euler-Maruyama discretization, (ii) score/denoiser approximation, (iii) noise initialization, and (iv) sampling variance, revealing the trade-offs between the different hyperparameters and sources of error in the estimator.

顶级标签: machine learning theory
详细标签: diffusion models drift estimation error bounds stochastic differential equations score matching 或 搜索:

基于扩散模型的漂移估计器的误差界 / Error Bounds for a Diffusion Model-Based Drift Estimator


1️⃣ 一句话总结

本文为一种利用扩散模型从多条离散轨迹中估计随机微分方程漂移项的新方法提供了严格的理论误差分析,将总误差分解为离散化、去噪近似、噪声初始化和采样方差四个部分,并给出了显式的风险界。

源自 arXiv: 2606.02115