基于神经伽辽金归一化流的不可达边界扩散过程贝叶斯推断 / Neural Galerkin Normalizing Flows for Bayesian Inference of Diffusions with Inaccessible Boundaries
1️⃣ 一句话总结
本文提出了一种结合神经伽辽金方法和归一化流的新架构,通过高效学习扩散过程的转移密度函数,实现了对具有不可达边界(如随机波动率模型)的复杂随机过程的快速贝叶斯推断,大幅降低了传统方法需要反复求解方程或模拟扩散桥的计算成本。
One of the primary challenges in Bayesian inference on the parameters of a diffusion model from discrete observations is the unavailability of an analytical expression for the transition density function between consecutive observation times, which is needed to derive the likelihood function. Extending previous studies that solve Fokker-Planck (FP) type partial differential equations with Normalizing Flows, we propose a new Normalizing Flow architecture to learn the transition density function of the diffusion process between two observation times. We do so by solving in a Neural Galerkin framework the associated FP equation with a Dirac mass as initial condition, over a specified training distribution of the initial datum and the coefficients of the diffusion. We specifically focus on processes whose diffusion matrix vanishes in certain inaccessible boundary regions, such as Stochastic Volatility models that satisfy a Feller condition. The product of the obtained transition densities evaluated along the observed trajectory approximates the likelihood function, thereby enabling cheap posterior sampling via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). After the offline training phase, inference becomes significantly more efficient, as it avoids the need to solve the FP equation in real time for each parameter proposed by the MCMC sampler or to rely on other likelihood-free methods for Bayesian inference that involve repeated simulation of diffusion bridges.
基于神经伽辽金归一化流的不可达边界扩散过程贝叶斯推断 / Neural Galerkin Normalizing Flows for Bayesian Inference of Diffusions with Inaccessible Boundaries
本文提出了一种结合神经伽辽金方法和归一化流的新架构,通过高效学习扩散过程的转移密度函数,实现了对具有不可达边界(如随机波动率模型)的复杂随机过程的快速贝叶斯推断,大幅降低了传统方法需要反复求解方程或模拟扩散桥的计算成本。
源自 arXiv: 2606.04324