CausalDS:数据科学智能体中的因果推理基准测试 / CausalDS: Benchmarking Causal Reasoning in Data-Science Agents
1️⃣ 一句话总结
该论文提出了一个名为CausalDS的基准测试,通过自动生成具有真实世界数据特征的因果模型、观测数据以及自然语言场景,来全面评估AI智能体在数据科学工作流中执行因果推理、数据分析、工具使用和不确定性判断(包括主动放弃回答)的能力。
Large language models (LLMs) increasingly act as integrated data-science agents, combining abstract reasoning with advanced tool use. Yet the relevant benchmark landscape largely divides into symbolic causal reasoning benchmarks without realistic data analysis or data analysis benchmarks without a principled causal data-generating structure. Furthermore, existing causal evaluation datasets are often restricted to curated examples from existing sources, with diversity coming from limited templatized variations rather than from systematic generation of novel synthetic causal structures. We introduce CausalDS, a benchmark for evaluating causal reasoning in agentic data-science workflows. Each benchmark instance is a scene consisting of a sampled structural causal model (SCM) with generated observational data and an accompanying synthetic natural-language story grounded in a realistic domain. We optionally ground the composition of the benchmark components in empirical distributions obtained from real-world datasets, thus retaining empirical structure while reducing the "causal parrot" risk through completely synthetic generation. From each scene, we then derive tasks spanning all three of Pearl's rungs, with typical data-science prediction tasks appearing as Rung 1. Most tasks include a data science coding component, where the model typically needs to use several tools to arrive at the final answer due to the frequent presence of imperfect observations, which are generated by an observation model. Additionally, recognizing when a question admits no warranted answer and abstaining is treated as a first-class scored outcome. The benchmark thus jointly evaluates symbolic causal reasoning, data science, uncertainty quantification, abstention, and tool use/coding.
CausalDS:数据科学智能体中的因果推理基准测试 / CausalDS: Benchmarking Causal Reasoning in Data-Science Agents
该论文提出了一个名为CausalDS的基准测试,通过自动生成具有真实世界数据特征的因果模型、观测数据以及自然语言场景,来全面评估AI智能体在数据科学工作流中执行因果推理、数据分析、工具使用和不确定性判断(包括主动放弃回答)的能力。
源自 arXiv: 2607.08093