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arXiv 提交日期: 2026-07-09
📄 Abstract - Prediction-Powered Active Testing

Active testing provides a label--efficient approach to risk estimation by adaptively selecting which test points should be labelled. However, existing estimators fail to exploit the informative predictions of powerful black--box models, even though such predictions are increasingly available in settings where labels remain expensive. To address this, we propose \textbf{Prediction--Powered Active Testing (PPAT)}, a novel label--efficient risk estimation framework that combines the unbiased LURE estimator \citep{farquhar2021statistical} with a prediction--powered control variate. Rather than using proxy predictions as biased pseudo--labels, PPAT uses them to residualise the loss, preserving unbiasedness while reducing variance. Beyond the estimator itself, PPAT also changes which points should be acquired: we derive oracle and practical surrogate--based acquisition rules tailored to reducing the variance of our estimator. Moreover, we establish asymptotic normality for PPAT, yielding asymptotically valid confidence intervals and thus a principled estimate of the uncertainty around our estimates. Across tabular regression and image--classification tasks, PPAT outperforms existing methods in risk estimation, while its confidence intervals attain the target coverage with substantially fewer labels and smaller widths.

顶级标签: machine learning model evaluation
详细标签: active testing risk estimation variance reduction confidence intervals 或 搜索:

预测驱动的主动测试 / Prediction-Powered Active Testing


1️⃣ 一句话总结

该论文提出了一种名为PPAT的新方法,通过利用强大但未标注的模型预测来指导标注样本的选择,从而在显著减少人工标注成本的同时,更准确、更高效地估计模型的风险(即预测误差)。

源自 arXiv: 2607.08347