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arXiv 提交日期: 2026-02-10
📄 Abstract - Triggered: A Statistical Analysis of Environmental Influences on Extremist Groups

Online extremist communities operate within a wider information ecosystem shaped by real-world events, news coverage, and cross-community interaction. We adopt a systems perspective to examine these influences using seven years of data from two ideologically distinct extremist forums (Stormfront and Incels) and a mainstream reference community (r/News). We ask three questions: how extremist violence impacts community behaviour; whether news coverage of political entities predicts shifts in conversation dynamics; and whether linguistic diffusion occurs between mainstream and extremist spaces and across extremist ideologies. Methodologically, we combine counterfactual synthesis to estimate event-level impacts with vector autoregression and Granger causality analyses to model ongoing relationships among news signals, behavioural outcomes, and cross-community language change. Across analyses, our results indicate that Stormfront and r/News appear to be more reactive to external stimuli, while Incels demonstrates less cross-community linguistic influence and less responsiveness to news and violent events. These findings underscore that extremist communities are not homogeneous, but differ in how tightly they are coupled to the surrounding information ecosystem.

顶级标签: natural language processing data behavior
详细标签: extremist communities linguistic diffusion granger causality counterfactual analysis information ecosystem 或 搜索:

触发因素:环境对极端主义团体影响的统计分析 / Triggered: A Statistical Analysis of Environmental Influences on Extremist Groups


1️⃣ 一句话总结

这篇论文通过分析两个极端主义网络社区和主流新闻社区长达七年的数据,发现不同的极端主义群体对外部事件、新闻报道和跨社区语言传播的反应程度存在显著差异,并非所有极端群体都与外界信息环境紧密联动。

源自 arXiv: 2602.09289