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arXiv 提交日期: 2026-03-16
📄 Abstract - A Hybrid Modeling Framework for Crop Prediction Tasks via Dynamic Parameter Calibration and Multi-Task Learning

Accurate prediction of crop states (e.g., phenology stages and cold hardiness) is essential for timely farm management decisions such as irrigation, fertilization, and canopy management to optimize crop yield and quality. While traditional biophysical models can be used for season-long predictions, they lack the precision required for site-specific management. Deep learning methods are a compelling alternative, but can produce biologically unrealistic predictions and require large-scale data. We propose a \emph{hybrid modeling} approach that uses a neural network to parameterize a differentiable biophysical model and leverages multi-task learning for efficient data sharing across crop cultivars in data limited settings. By predicting the \emph{parameters} of the biophysical model, our approach improves the prediction accuracy while preserving biological realism. Empirical evaluation using real-world and synthetic datasets demonstrates that our method improves prediction accuracy by 60\% for phenology and 40\% for cold hardiness compared to deployed biophysical models.

顶级标签: biology machine learning model training
详细标签: hybrid modeling parameter calibration multi-task learning crop prediction biophysical models 或 搜索:

通过动态参数校准与多任务学习的作物预测混合建模框架 / A Hybrid Modeling Framework for Crop Prediction Tasks via Dynamic Parameter Calibration and Multi-Task Learning


1️⃣ 一句话总结

这篇论文提出了一种结合深度学习和传统作物生长模型的混合方法,通过神经网络动态校准模型参数并利用多任务学习共享数据,在保证预测结果符合生物学规律的同时,显著提高了作物物候期和抗寒性的预测精度。

源自 arXiv: 2603.15411